Expected Scoring Trade Edition

The latest Expected Scoring numbers are up and available. With these new numbers I thought it would be fun to take a look at the changes in point differential for some of the players who were traded last week. These numbers only include games through Monday, February 28th.

The table below shows some of the key players who switched teams and how their Expected Scoring Point Differential has changed with their new team. I only included players who have played at least two games since being traded.

Obviously this is a small sample size and these numbers will even out as the season progresses. Still, it’s interesting to see who acclimates to their new offensive surroundings quicker.

So far Derrick Favors has seen the biggest jump in his point differential. Most of that can be attributed to the fact that he hasn’t yet missed a shot at the rim in a Jazz uniform. Aaron Brooks is clearly loving the offensive freedom in Phoenix. Marcus Thornton must be relieved at being able to abandon any pretense of wasting energy at the defensive end of the floor.

I will be extremely interested to see how the numbers for Carmelo Anthony, Jeff Green and Deron Williams change over the next few weeks. They were three of the biggest names traded and all three have struggled to consistently score efficiently with their new teams.

To find the Expected Scoring numbers for the entire league you can follow this link or check them out at the Expected Scoring – Statistics and Analysis page.


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Filed under Atlanta Hawks, Boston Celtics, Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets, NBA, New Jersey Nets, New Orleans Hornets, New York Knicks, Oklahoma City Thunder, Phoenix Suns, Sacramento Kings, Statistical Analysis, Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz

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